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With a shake-out underway,
who will be the survivors?
An industry shake-out has begun, said IFI CEO Bill Fisher. For some cleaners it will
spell doom. For others, it means better days ahead.
Fisher offered that forecast for the
industry during a talk at the Southwest Drycleaners Association
Big 2002 Show and Convention in San Antonio, TX, last month.
The coming shake-out will not be as
dramatic as the one experienced by the industry in the 1970s,
he said. That one saw the number of drycleaning plants decline
from 31,000 down to about 19,000 by the mid-1970s. Since then,
the number of plants has grown and is back into the 30,000-plus
range. But that growth trend is reversing.
There is less work coming into drycleaning
plants now as casual wear, and to a lesser extent, home
drycleaning, have taken a toll, he said. It’s not unusual
for cleaners to report that their volume is off 10 to 15
percent in the last year, Fisher reported.
“Poorly managed marginal operators
will be going under and the work will end up going to other
plants,” he said.
The survivors who will be around to pick
up that work will be those who have well-run plants, provide
consistent quality, pursue diversifications and keep garments
coming, Fisher said.
To that last point, Fisher said that
drycleaners need to “aggressively pursue the market for
casual wear.”
So far, the casual wear market has gotten
away from cleaners. Fisher cited a survey by the Rowenta
Company, a maker of high-end home ironing equipment, that shows
consumers believe “you don’t take khakis and casual
wear to the drycleaner.” As a result, iron sales are up
and home ironing is up nine percent. Furthermore, only 12
percent of the people surveyed work for companies that require
traditional business attire.
“These are people who can afford
these expensive irons and they are ironing more at home due to
casual wear,” Fisher said. They should be drycleaning
customers and drycleaners need to aim for that market.
Adapting to a changing market is not the
only factor that cleaners need to consider to ensure their
future. Regulatory and technical issues also require attention
in order to make good decisions.
Coming regulations
Fisher noted several areas on the
regulatory front that need to be watched, particularly by
cleaners using perc. The U.S. EPA Air Office is considering
additional emission standards that could affect cleaning plants
that are co-located in buildings with residences or schools.
Fisher said that EPA has met with IFI, the Neighborhood
Cleaners Association and the Halogenated Solvents Industry
Alliance on the issue.
When the Clean Air Act was passed in 1990,
IFI saw to it that language was inserted into the congressional
committee report saying that this type of additional regulation
would be unnecessary. Now that EPA has been reminded of that,
Fisher said he does not believe it will pose a big problem.
A problem could develop for perc cleaners
in Southern California if the South Coast Air Quality
Management District goes through with a plan to phase out perc.
The regional air district held a hearing last fall on a
proposal to phase out perc by 2011. Hundreds of cleaners
attended to protest the action.
Subsequently the SCAQMD has indicated that
it might extend the phase out schedule through 2018. Further
discussion of the proposal by the air board has been delayed
several times since the first of the year, but the proposal is
on the table.
Drycleaners in Los Angeles, Orange,
Riverside and San Bernardino counties would be affected if the
rule change goes through and those with older equipment might
need to buy new within two years if the plan passes. Also,
cleaners looking to buy new cleaning equipment could be
required to go with a non-perc alternative.
Even if the perc phase-out is adopted in
Southern California, Fisher said he does not see “a
widespread movement in the rest of the country” to follow
the California example.
Good news on perc
Meanwhile, there has been a positive
development on the government regulatory front in the form of a
report issued in February by the North Carolina Department of
Environmental and Natural Resources.
The DENRC report, which surveyed the industry’s cleaning solvent
options, concluded that perc, as it is currently used in
drycleaning, does not post a significant health hazard and that
further regulation is not necessary.
“The North Carolina report is the
best we have seen on perc,” Fisher said.
Regardless of what government regulators
decide to do — or not do — concerning perc, Fisher
said he expects that the industry’s most widely used
solvent will continue to take a beating in the media.
The alternatives
If for that reason — or any other
— a drycleaner decides to move away from using perc,
alternatives are available and developments are continuing.
Fisher provided an overview of the current perc alternatives.
In a case of “back to the
future,” some cleaners have been shifting from perc to
petroleum solvent, he noted. It was petroleum solvent that came
to the rescue of the industry in early years of the last
century when it replaced highly flammable gasoline.
After World War II, the conversions from
petroleum to perc began, but even at its lowest ebb, petroleum
remained the solvent of choice of many cleaners.
Now the tide is rising again, driven not
only by increasing regulatory pressure on perc but also on
improvements in petroleum solvents, which are now safer to use
because of higher flash points. EPA dropped plans for further
regulation of petroleum drycleaning solvents two years ago and
there is nothing on the regulatory horizon at this time.
Fisher cautioned that cleaners switching
from perc to petroleum need to be aware that solvent
maintenance is important and that the potential for
environmental contamination is reduced but it is not
eliminated.
“Don’t get sloppy,” he
warned.
Also making a comeback in cleaning plants
is wetcleaning. Fisher said that modern wetcleaning technology
makes it possible to a plant to handle 25 to 40 percent of its
volume in water. With the addition of tensioning equipment in
the finishing department, that could go as high as 80 percent.
Ninety percent is possible, he said, but he sees no future for
100-percent wetcleaning.
Several totally new drycleaning solvents
have appeared over the past few years. Rynex, which debuted at
the 1995 Clean Show, has attained limited use in the industry
so far, Fisher said, and he doesn’t know what its future
will be.
Also making its industry debut that year
was liquid carbon dioxide. Several companies are making carbon
dioxide cleaning machines now, but Fisher said its success
hinges on the development of detergents and additives.”
There is also some problem of wrinkling of linings,” he
said. “But I believe these problems can be
overcome.”
More recently introduced to the industry
was GreenEarth, a silicone-based solvent. It has almost no
toxicity and can be used in current petroleum machines if the
water separator is adequate. GreenEarth, too, needs further
development of detergents, “We are seeing promising
results with new detergents,” Fisher noted.
As for the most recently introduced
solvent, PureDry, Fisher said there is not enough information
to make an evaluation.
Overall, Fisher said he foresees a slight
decrease in plants using perc, a continuing increase for
petroleum solvents and wetcleaning, moderate to large growth
for GreenEarth, and moderate growth for carbon dioxide. The
future for Rynex and PureDry is uncertain.
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